MONEY BETS 2019: WEEK ONE (Saturday 8/24/19 - Monday 9/2/19) . . . All Week 1 bets should be recorded on this thread, and all wagers placed prior to respective game starting times are acceptable---as long as the Las Vegas odds on the selected games remain open.
Big Louie wishes the best of luck to all players!
Last Edit: Aug 12, 2019 7:43:59 GMT -8 by Trojangles
MONEY BETS 2019: WEEK 1 . . . I'm an early-bird this week with these wagers already on the board and $1,525 on the line:
$500 on Florida vs. Miami (Fla) +7 - In his second year, HC Dan Mullen has the Gators on the rise (10-3, 5-3 in 2018, including a 41-15 Peach Bowl romp over Michigan), while former DC Manny Diaz hopes he can do the same in his first year as HC of the Hurricanes (7-6, 4-4 in 2018, and crushed 3-35 by Wisconsin in the 2018 Pinstripe Bowl). So, while a turnaround may happen for Miami, I'm thinking it won't be in that season opener in Orlando. Plus, one can't help noting that Michigan tromped Wisconsin 38-13 last season.
$500 on Southern California vs. Fresno State +13.5 - (1) FSU HC Jeff Tedford has more coaching credibility than embattled USC HC Clay Helton may ever attain, and (2) the Bulldogs' record in 2018 (12-2, 7-1, including a 31-20 Las Vegas Bowl victory over Arizona State), dwarfs the Trojans' flapdoodle (5-7, 4-5) season, including a 35-38 loss at home to those very same Sun Devils. But the Las Vegas line favors USC . . . and keeps rising incrementally (opened at FSU +10), which leaves me thinking---I'm not the only one impressed by stirrings down at University Park and worries in Fresno about life without their talented QB Marcus McMaryion and members of his supporting cast.
$50 on Northwestern vs. Stanford -6.5 - Both Pat Fitzgerald and David Shaw are excellent head coaches, their teams feature physical football, and registered somewhat similar records in 2018: Both schools lost to Notre Dame---Northwestern at home 21-31 and Stanford 17-38 in South Bend. Overall, the Wildcats went 9-5, 8-1 in 2018, including a 31-20 Holiday Bowl victory over Utah (a team that crushed Stanford 40-21 earlier in Palo Alto), and the Cardinal ended 9-4, 6-3 with a narrow 14-13 win over Pittsburgh (6-6, 4-4) in the Sun Bowl. So, maybe the 6.5 points is simply the Cardinal's home field advantage. Just a hunch, but I smell an upset.
$250 on Oklahoma State vs. Oregon State +15.5 - Last season, the Beavers lost their opener to Ohio State 31-77. While the Cowboys won't match that 46 point margin, they will surely win and cover the point spread---Unless a fog bank covers Corvallis, as is sometimes the case up there this time of year.
$50 on Auburn vs. Oregon +3 - Another season opening Pac-12 pratfall in a game of national significance? Likely: The Ducks have a ton of returning starters and talent to spare, but the Tigers have HC Gus Malzahn calling offensive plays for AU once again, and that makes a big difference.
$50 on Utah vs. BYU +5 - Tough to give points in a rivalry game like this, especially when it's being played in Provo. The Utes were lucky to pull out a fourth quarter victory over the Cougars in SLC last year, and BYU QB Zack Wilson will be out to deliver an upset. But, Utah has virtually all of its starters returning from a 10-3 season and will be looking for OOC style points that home games with Idaho State and Northern Illinois won't deliver.
$25 on Arizona vs. Hawai'i +11 - It all depends on UofA's QB Khalil Tate. If he both runs and passes I win; if he stays a pocket passer with the NFL in mind, I lose. $25 Arizona State vs. Kent St. +25.5 - The Golden Flashes have 12 starters returning, from a team that beat just two schools: Howard and Bowling Green. Sun Devils have 12 starters back too.
$25 on Colorado vs. Colorado State +11 - The Rams beat just three teams last year---all wimps: New Mexico, San Jose St., and yes, Arkansas.
$25 on New Mexico St. vs. Washington St. -33 - The hapless, 3-9 Aggies lost big several times in 2018, but only twice by more than 33 points; meanwhile, 11-2, Alamo Bowl champ Wazzu topped that margin just once.
$25 on UCLA vs. Cincinnati -3.5 - After 2018's 3-9 maiden season, Bruin fans are getting tired of waiting for HC Chip Kelly (the highest paid coach in UCLA history) to deliver.
Last Edit: Aug 12, 2019 10:22:34 GMT -8 by Trojangles
Post by misterjimi on Aug 23, 2019 17:26:41 GMT -8
OK After much distraction and a great vacation on the shore of Lake Ontario I am ready to begin a new season. I see Trojangles is well organized already. I will start with games this weekend.
$200 Florida -7.5 vs Miami F. The Gators look ready to take the next step with HC Dan Mullen. He has recruited well to fill in the gaps. He needs to get QB Jarren Williams healthy and focused. Everyone is excited about Miami's hire of Manny Diaz. I may be wrong but i don't see a successful HC in this lifelong DC. I'm looking for a defensive battle and a low score.
$300 Cincinnati -3 vs UCLA The Bearcats have their entire 15th ranked offense back plus their injured 2017 starting RB who missed last year plus a new dual threat QB who can take off in a hurry. Whew! The passing game? Not so sure. The 11th ranked defense lost 3 starters on the DL so the Bruins can probably run on them. Chip Kelly is still trying to put together a high octane offense but he hasn't landed the OL to get it done. The DL can be run on which is bad news for this game. Pundits are calling for a big Cincy win here at home. I'm not buying that but covering 3 should be easy enough.
$300 Arizona -12 vs Hawaii I got burned betting against Hawaii & its surprising QB early last year but reality caught up with him late in the season. Wildcat QB Tate doesn't get to freelance this year which may be a damper on the offense but Hawaii has no defense to speak of. Arizona is gradually pulling it altogether but in a more structured approach. Good fundamental football almost always wins out. We're talking less than 2 TDs here. I'm looking for Arizona to score in the 40s.
Last Edit: Aug 23, 2019 17:27:36 GMT -8 by misterjimi